BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 84 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 138.06
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Away L * 138.40 10 30 1A 27 ( 8- 5) Michigan 0.35 -16.64 -20.35
2 09/07/2024 Home W 131.21 46 30 1B 45 ( 3- 9) Sacramento St -6.85 9.62 22.85
3 09/14/2024 Home W * 162.63 48 0 1A 130 ( 3- 9) New Mexico St 24.58 7.72 23.42
4 09/21/2024 Away W * * 149.60 38 21 1A 113 ( 5- 7) New Mexico 11.54 12.78 5.46
5 09/28/2024 Away L * * 109.32 14 59 1A 40 (11- 3) UNLV -28.74 -13.09 -16.26
6 10/12/2024 Home L * 132.50 17 25 1A 68 ( 8- 5) Washington St -5.56 -11.87 -2.44
7 10/18/2024 Away W * * 139.27 24 21 1A 98 ( 3-10) Nevada 1.21 -4.82 1.79
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 156.03 33 10 1A 94 ( 7- 6) San Jose St 17.98 4.77 5.02
9 11/02/2024 Home L * * 125.13 20 21 1A 112 ( 5- 7) Hawaii -12.92 8.19 11.92
10 11/09/2024 Away L * * 125.23 28 36 1A 109 ( 5- 7) Air Force -12.83 14.17 4.83
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 136.40 28 22 1A 97 ( 8- 5) Colorado St -1.66 0.87 7.66
12 11/30/2024 Away L * 142.66 13 20 1A 56 ( 5- 7) UCLA 4.60 -11.44 -11.60
13 12/23/2024 Neutral W * 146.37 28 20 1A 86 ( 7- 6) Northern Illinois 8.31 -0.60 -0.31
Averages 138.06 26.7 24.2
Best game: 162.63 = 48 point win over New Mexico St
Worst game: 109.32 = 45 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev: 14.11